Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
This college basketball matchup pits the Beavers of Oregon State against the Oregon Ducks here at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Ducks of -7.0 while the total sits at 138.0. Start time is 3:00 PM.
The Oregon State Beavers (15-12) are averaging 71.2 points per game this season while allowing 67.6. Those numbers on the road are 69.6 points for and 70.7. Betting against the Las Vegas number, Oregon State is 15-13 overall and 5-7 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 17 Beavers games while Under the total has cashed in 12 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 9-4.
The points scoring for the Oregon Ducks (21-7) has averaged 75.9 points for and 66.7 points against on average while the home differential is 80.8-65.3. Against the spread, NCAAB handicappers betting on the Ducks have gone 15-10 overall and 11-3 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Ducks games has gone 15-10 overall and 9-5 on home court.
OREGON STATE BEAVERS VS OREGON DUCKS CONSENSUS REPORT
Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.
- Betting Oregon State against the spread(7.0): 51%
- Betting Oregon State to win straight up(): 48%
- Betting Oregon against the spread(-7.0): 49%
- Betting Oregon to win straight up(): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(138.0): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(138.0): 50%
Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".
OREGON STATE BEAVERS VS OREGON DUCKS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK
The Oregon Ducks is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 21 documented premium wagers on Ducks games in the last decade, winning 18, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 85.70% and profits of $14680.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.
Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 147.1. Together, the teams average 134.3 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 140.7, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.
To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Ducks is 89.5 while the visiting Beavers bring a rating of 79.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Oregon is -10.
Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: OREGON 89.5, OREGON STATE 79.5