Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

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Thursday, March 12, 2020, 12:00 PM: This NCAAB contest has the Wolverines of Michigan on the road to Piscataway, New Jersey to face the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The home line opened at 2.5 and for those betting college basketball totals, the number is set at 135.0.

Looking at Michigan Wolverines (18-9) recently, we can see they are averaging 73.5 points per game over the last 30 days while allowing 66.6. Those numbers on the road over the last month are 68.6 points for and 65.8. For the season against the spread, the Wolverines are 11-15 and on the road against the spread, the record is 4-8. The total has gone over on 13 occasions compared to 13 times under the number. As the road team, the over-under is 7-5.

Meanwhile, a recent look at the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (17-11) over the last 30 days shows them averaging 67.7 points for and 66.9 points against per game on average while the differential here at Louis Brown Athletic Center over the past 30 days is 67.3-61.3. For college basketball bettors making NCAAB picks against the line, the Scarlet Knights are 17-10 ATS overall and 11-6 as the home team. As for the total in Scarlet Knights games, the Over-Under result this season has been 14-12 overall and 8-8 here on the home court.

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Michigan against the spread(-2.5): 51%
  • Betting Michigan to win straight up(-147): 48%
  • Betting Rutgers against the spread(2.5): 49%
  • Betting Rutgers to win straight up(126): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(135.0): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(135.0): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 25 documented premium wagers on Scarlet Knights games in the last decade, winning 17, next to just 8 for a winning rate of 68.00% and profits of $8280.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 144.9. Together, the teams average 130.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 137.9, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Scarlet Knights is 86.0 while the visiting Wolverines bring a rating of 88.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Rutgers is 2.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

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GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: RUTGERS 86.0, MICHIGAN 88.0

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