Long Beach State 49ers at Cal Irvine Anteaters 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Thursday, March 12, 2020, 9:00 PM: This NCAAB contest has the 49ers of Long Beach State on the road to Irvine, California to face the Cal Irvine Anteaters. The home line opened at -12.5 and for those betting college basketball totals, the number is set at 136.5.
Looking at Long Beach State 49ers (8-19) recently, we can see they are averaging 62.1 points per game over the last 30 days while allowing 64.0. Those numbers on the road over the last month are 56.0 points for and 60.8. For the season against the spread, the 49ers are 10-15 and on the road against the spread, the record is 4-9. The total has gone over on 13 occasions compared to 13 times under the number. As the road team, the over-under is 9-4.
Meanwhile, a recent look at the Cal Irvine Anteaters (16-9) over the last 30 days shows them averaging 72.6 points for and 63.8 points against per game on average while the differential here at Bren Events Center over the past 30 days is 69.7-61.7. For college basketball bettors making NCAAB picks against the line, the Anteaters are 12-13 ATS overall and 6-4 as the home team. As for the total in Anteaters games, the Over-Under result this season has been 13-13 overall and 5-6 here on the home court.
LONG BEACH STATE 49ERS VS CAL IRVINE ANTEATERS CONSENSUS REPORT
Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.
- Betting Long Beach State against the spread(12.5): 51%
- Betting Long Beach State to win straight up(): 48%
- Betting Cal Irvine against the spread(-12.5): 49%
- Betting Cal Irvine to win straight up(): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(136.5): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(136.5): 50%
Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".
LONG BEACH STATE 49ERS VS CAL IRVINE ANTEATERS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK
The Cal Irvine Anteaters is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 22 documented premium wagers on Anteaters games in the last decade, winning 15, next to just 7 for a winning rate of 68.20% and profits of $7400.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.
Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 140.4. Together, the teams average 139.4 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 139.9, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.
To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Anteaters is 76.0 while the visiting 49ers bring a rating of 64.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Cal Irvine is -12.
Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: CAL IRVINE 76.0, LONG BEACH STATE 64.0