Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

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The Thompson–Boling Arena in Knoxville, Tennessee is the battleground today where the hometown Volunteers of Tennessee tussle with the visiting Alabama Crimson Tide. The line on the Volunteers is -1.0 and the total is set at 147.0.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (15-13) have an ATS record this season of 12-9. The game total has landed Over 14 times and fallen Under the total 14 times in Crimson Tide games this season. On the road, as they are today, the Crimson Tide are 6-3 ATS and 5-4 Over/Under.

The Tennessee Volunteers (14-13) have an ATS record this season of 12-14. The game total in Tennessee contests this season has landed Over 14 times and fallen Under the total 14 times. Here on home court, the Volunteers are 6-9 ATS and 6-9 Over/Under.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Alabama against the spread(1.0): 51%
  • Betting Alabama to win straight up(-108): 48%
  • Betting Tennessee against the spread(-1.0): 49%
  • Betting Tennessee to win straight up(-108): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(147.0): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(147.0): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Tennessee Volunteers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 24 documented premium wagers on Volunteers games in the last decade, winning 18, next to just 6 for a winning rate of 75.00% and profits of $11550.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 148.3. Together, the teams average 142.1 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 145.2, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Volunteers is 69.5 while the visiting Crimson Tide bring a rating of 83.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Tennessee is 14.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

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