NCAAB Free Pick: South Florida Bulls at DePaul Blue Demons 2019-04-03

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In NCAAB action today, the DePaul Blue Demons (16-15) host the South Florida Bulls (17-15) in a much-anticipated contest. The line on the host Blue Demons is -6.0 while the total is pegged at 146.5. The tip-off is set for 7:00 PM.

Currently, the American Athletic #5 ranked team, the South Florida Bulls arrive in Rosemont averaging 71.3 ppg while allowing 66.6 ppg. Fans making college basketball picks against the spread will note Bulls record of 1-0 against the spread and an Over/Under ledger that sits at 0-1.

Meanwhile, the DePaul Blue Demons hold down the #7 position in the Big East. They score on average 77.6 ppg and concede an average of 75.4 ppg. Betting on the Blue Demons against the spread has produced a 1-1 record while betting the totals has gone 0 Over and 2 Under.

SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS VS DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting South Florida against the spread(6.0): 51%
  • Betting South Florida to win straight up(210): 48%
  • Betting DePaul against the spread(-6.0): 49%
  • Betting DePaul to win straight up(-253): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(146.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(146.5): 50%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM BG SPORTS

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Blue Demons games (14-4/77.80%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (DePaul -6.0) compared to where we feel it should be (DePaul -5.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

BG Sports says, take the DePaul Blue Demons -6/-113
(Record for Professional Handicapper BG Sports betting on or against the DePaul Blue Demons: 14-4/77.80%, +9860.00)

GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: DEPAUL 80.0, SOUTH FLORIDA 74.5

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