NCAAB Free Pick: DePaul Blue Demons at South Florida Bulls 2019-04-01

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The DePaul Blue Demons (16-15) visit USF Sun Dome on Monday, April 1, 2019, to tussle with the South Florida Bulls (17-15). The home line is -2.0, the total is set at 151.5 and the start time is 6:00 PM.

The Blue Demons have a record against the spread of 1-1 this season and are averaging 78.2 points per contest while allowing 75.8. The total has gone over the posted line 0 times while staying under the total in 2 instances.

On the other side of the court, the Bulls have a record against the number of 1-0, averaging 71.5 points per contest while opponents score an average of 66.8 against them. The total has gone over the posted line 0 times in Bulls games while staying under the total in 1 instances.

DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting DePaul against the spread(2.0): 33%
  • Betting DePaul to win straight up(-105152): 14%
  • Betting South Florida against the spread(-2.0): 67%
  • Betting South Florida to win straight up(-115): 86%
  • Betting Over the Total(151.5): 41%
  • Betting Under the Total(151.5): 59%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM JIMMY MCGUIRE

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Bulls games (7-2/77.80%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (South Florida -2.0) compared to where we feel it should be (South Florida -0.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

Jimmy McGuire says, take the DePaul Blue Demons 1/-105
(Record for Professional Handicapper Jimmy McGuire betting on or against the South Florida Bulls: 7-2/77.80%, +4910.00)

GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: SOUTH FLORIDA 77.5, DEPAUL 77.0

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