NCAAB Free Pick: Auburn Tigers at North Carolina Tar Heels 2019-03-29
The Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina is the battleground today where the hometown Tar Heels of North Carolina tussle with the visiting Auburn Tigers. The line on the Tar Heels is -5.5 and the total is set at 163.0.
The Auburn Tigers (26-9) have an ATS record this season of 2-0. The game total has landed Over 1 times and fallen Under the total 1 times in Tigers games this season. On the road, as they are today, the Tigers are 1-0 ATS and 0-1 Over/Under.
The North Carolina Tar Heels (8-18) have an ATS record this season of 0-2. The game total in North Carolina contests this season has landed Over 1 times and fallen Under the total 1 times. Here on home court, the Tar Heels are 0-2 ATS and 1-1 Over/Under.
AUBURN TIGERS VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW
Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.
- Betting Auburn against the spread(5.5): 34%
- Betting Auburn to win straight up(218): 20%
- Betting North Carolina against the spread(-5.5): 66%
- Betting North Carolina to win straight up(-265): 80%
- Betting Over the Total(163.0): 45%
- Betting Under the Total(163.0): 55%
These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM MONEYBALL SPORTS
We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Tar Heels games (11-4/73.30%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.
This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (North Carolina -5.5) compared to where we feel it should be (North Carolina 20.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.
Moneyball Sports says, take the Auburn Tigers 6/-110
(Record for Professional Handicapper Moneyball Sports betting on or against the North Carolina Tar Heels: 11-4/73.30%, +6820.00)
GAME NOTES: TV: TBS, DTV: 247 POWER RATINGS: NORTH CAROLINA 68.5, AUBURN 89.0