NCAAB Free Pick: Old Dominion Monarchs at Purdue Boilermakers 2019-03-21

NCAAB Free Pick: Old Dominion Monarchs at Purdue Boilermakers 2019-03-21

Welcome to West Lafayette, Indiana for this tussle pitting the visiting Old Dominion Monarchs against the hometown Purdue Boilermakers in the friendly confines of Mackey Arena. Las Vegas oddsmakers have posted a line on the Boilermakers of -12.5 and set the total at 126.0.

The Old Dominion Monarchs (18-10) are averaging 65.8 points per game this season while allowing 60.0, which has led to a record of 0-0 against the spread this season. On the road against the betting line, the record for the Monarchs is 0-0. The number has gone over the total on 0 occasions while falling under the total 0 times. As the road team, those numbers are 0 over and 0 under.

On the other side of the court, the Boilermakers of Purdue (16-12) have averaged 76.0 points for and 67.0 points against on the season. On home court, those numbers change to 79.4-62.9. For those making college basketball picks against the spread, the Boilermakers are 1-2 ATS on the season and0-1 ATS as the home team. Over the total has cashed 2 times this season in Boilermakers games while under the total has paid off 1 times. The home record for Over/Under in Boilermakers games is 1-0.

OLD DOMINION MONARCHS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Old Dominion against the spread(12.5): 0%
  • Betting Old Dominion to win straight up(): 0%
  • Betting Purdue against the spread(-12.5): 0%
  • Betting Purdue to win straight up(): 0%
  • Betting Over the Total(126.0): 0%
  • Betting Under the Total(126.0): 0%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

OLD DOMINION MONARCHS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The Purdue Boilermakers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 14 documented premium wagers on Boilermakers games in the last decade, winning 11, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 78.60% and profits of $7820.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 141.8. Together, the teams average 127 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 134.4, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Boilermakers is 71.5 while the visiting Monarchs bring a rating of 71.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Purdue is -0.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Capper Consensus says, take the Old Dominion Monarchs 13/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Capper Consensus betting on or against the Purdue Boilermakers: 11-3/78.60%, +7820.00)

GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: PURDUE 71.5, OLD DOMINION 71.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 20, 2019 by Capper Consensus


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