NCAAB Free Pick: Mississippi Rebels at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders 2018-12-21

NCAAB Free Pick: Mississippi Rebels at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders 2018-12-21

The Mississippi Rebels (10-1) visit Murphy Center on Friday, December 21, 2018, to tussle with the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (3-8). The home line is 13.0, the total is set at 144.5 and the start time is 8:00 PM.

The Rebels have a record against the spread of 0-0 this season and are averaging 79.2 points per contest while allowing 68.0. The total has gone over the posted line 0 times while staying under the total in 0 instances.

On the other side of the court, the Blue Raiders have a record against the number of 0-0, averaging 63.9 points per contest while opponents score an average of 77.1 against them. The total has gone over the posted line 0 times in Blue Raiders games while staying under the total in 0 instances.

MISSISSIPPI REBELS VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDE CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Mississippi against the spread(-13.0): 95%
  • Betting Mississippi to win straight up(-1100): 48%
  • Betting Middle Tennessee State against the spread(13.0): 5%
  • Betting Middle Tennessee State to win straight up(711): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(144.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(144.5): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

MISSISSIPPI REBELS VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDE COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 18 documented premium wagers on Blue Raiders games in the last decade, winning 15, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 83.30% and profits of $11820.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 143.1. Together, the teams average 145.1 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 144.1, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Blue Raiders is 68.0 while the visiting Rebels bring a rating of 85.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Middle Tennessee State is 17.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Joe Gunn says, take the Mississippi Rebels -13/-110
(Record for Professional Handicapper Joe Gunn betting on or against the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders: 15-3/83.30%, +11820.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: CBSSN, DTV: 221 POWER RATINGS: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 68.0, MISSISSIPPI 85.0

Posted on Thursday, December 20, 2018 by Joe Gunn
Mississippi Rebels, Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops


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