NCAAB Free Pick: Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Idaho Vandals 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Idaho Vandals 2018-03-08

The Idaho Vandals (20-8) will meet the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (9-18) here at Reno Events Center in Reno, Nevada in this tussle. The line on the Vandals is -8.5 while the total shows at 145.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Big Sky, the Southern Utah Thunderbirds rank number 9 in conference play. On the national stage, the Thunderbirds currently sit at number 301 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Idaho Vandals currently rank number 2 in Big Sky conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 136 according to national oddsmakers.

IDAHO V SOUTHERN UTAH CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Southern Utah against the spread(8.5): 15%
  • Betting Southern Utah to win straight up(334): 48%
  • Betting Idaho against the spread(-8.5): 85%
  • Betting Idaho to win straight up(-425): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(145.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(145.5): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: SOUTHERN UTAH/IDAHO

The Idaho Vandals is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 11 documented premium wagers on Vandals games in the last decade, winning 8, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 72.70% and profits of $4820.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 147.5. Together, the teams average 149.1 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 148.3, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Idaho Vandals is 73.0 while the Southern Utah Thunderbirds bring a rating of 62.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Idaho is -11.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Campus Sports says, take the Idaho Vandals -9/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Campus Sports betting on or against the Idaho Vandals: 8-3/72.70%, +4820.00)

GAME NOTES: BIG SKY COLLEGE BASKETBALL CONFERENCE TOURNEY POWER RATINGS: IDAHO 76.0, SOUTHERN UTAH 62.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Campus Sports


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