NCAAB Free Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders 2018-03-08

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (23-6) will meet the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10-17) here at The Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas in this tussle. The line on the Blue Raiders is -13.0 while the total shows at 135.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Conference USA, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles rank number 10 in conference play. On the national stage, the Golden Eagles currently sit at number 239 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders currently rank number 2 in Conference USA conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 57 according to national oddsmakers.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE V SOUTHERN MISS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Southern Miss against the spread(13.0): 15%
  • Betting Southern Miss to win straight up(711): 75%
  • Betting Middle Tennessee State against the spread(-13.0): 85%
  • Betting Middle Tennessee State to win straight up(-1100): 25%
  • Betting Over the Total(135.5): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(135.5): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: SOUTHERN MISS/MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 22 documented premium wagers on Blue Raiders games in the last decade, winning 19, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 86.40% and profits of $15780.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 143. Together, the teams average 137.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 140.25, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders is 81.0 while the Southern Miss Golden Eagles bring a rating of 66.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Middle Tennessee State is -15.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Redneck Underground says, take the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -13/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Redneck Underground betting on or against the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders: 19-3/86.40%, +15780.00)

GAME NOTES: CONFERENCE USA MENS BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT POWER RATINGS: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 84.0, SOUTHERN MISS 66.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Redneck Underground


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