NCAAB Free Pick: San Diego State Aztecs at Fresno State Bulldogs 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: San Diego State Aztecs at Fresno State Bulldogs 2018-03-08

The Fresno State Bulldogs (19-10) will meet the San Diego State Aztecs (18-10) here at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada in this tussle. The line on the Bulldogs is 3.5 while the total shows at 138.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Mountain West, the San Diego State Aztecs rank number 5 in conference play. On the national stage, the Aztecs currently sit at number 53 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Fresno State Bulldogs currently rank number 3 in Mountain West conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 77 according to national oddsmakers.

FRESNO STATE V SAN DIEGO STATE CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting San Diego State against the spread(-3.5): 76%
  • Betting San Diego State to win straight up(-165): 57%
  • Betting Fresno State against the spread(3.5): 24%
  • Betting Fresno State to win straight up(144): 43%
  • Betting Over the Total(138.0): 9%
  • Betting Under the Total(138.0): 91%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: SAN DIEGO STATE/FRESNO STATE

The Fresno State Bulldogs is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 18 documented premium wagers on Bulldogs games in the last decade, winning 15, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 83.30% and profits of $11820.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 154.1. Together, the teams average 137.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 145.9, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Fresno State Bulldogs is 78.5 while the San Diego State Aztecs bring a rating of 81.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Fresno State is 3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Leonard Bryant says, take the San Diego State Aztecs -4/-105
(Record for Professional Handicapper Leonard Bryant betting on or against the Fresno State Bulldogs: 15-3/83.30%, +11820.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TV: CBSC, DTV: 221 POWER RATINGS: FRESNO STATE 81.5, SAN DIEGO STATE 81.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Leonard Bryant
San Diego State Aztecs, Fresno State Bulldogs, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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