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NCAAB Free Pick: Marquette Golden Eagles at Villanova Wildcats 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Marquette Golden Eagles at Villanova Wildcats 2018-03-08

The Villanova Wildcats (27-4) will meet the Marquette Golden Eagles (18-12) here at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York in this tussle. The line on the Wildcats is -10.5 while the total shows at 160.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Big East, the Marquette Golden Eagles rank number 7 in conference play. On the national stage, the Golden Eagles currently sit at number 47 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Villanova Wildcats currently rank number 1 in Big East conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 1 according to national oddsmakers.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Marquette against the spread(10.5): 53%
  • Betting Marquette to win straight up(462): 4%
  • Betting Villanova against the spread(-10.5): 47%
  • Betting Villanova to win straight up(-625): 96%
  • Betting Over the Total(160.5): 78%
  • Betting Under the Total(160.5): 22%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Villanova Wildcats is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 10 documented premium wagers on Wildcats games in the last decade, winning 10, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $10000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 168.9. Together, the teams average 150.4 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 159.65, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Villanova Wildcats is 94.0 while the Marquette Golden Eagles bring a rating of 82.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Villanova is -11.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Ben Obama says, take the Villanova Wildcats -11/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Ben Obama betting on or against the Villanova Wildcats: 10-0/100.00%, +10000.00)


Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Ben Obama

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