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NCAAB Free Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Old Dominion Monarchs 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Old Dominion Monarchs 2018-03-08

The Old Dominion Monarchs (24-6) will meet the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (14-15) here at The Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas in this tussle. The line on the Monarchs is -8.0 while the total shows at 136.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Conference USA, the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs rank number 7 in conference play. On the national stage, the Bulldogs currently sit at number 149 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Old Dominion Monarchs currently rank number 1 in Conference USA conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 70 according to national oddsmakers.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Louisiana Tech against the spread(8.0): 15%
  • Betting Louisiana Tech to win straight up(300): 48%
  • Betting Old Dominion against the spread(-8.0): 85%
  • Betting Old Dominion to win straight up(-376): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(136.5): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(136.5): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Old Dominion Monarchs is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 17 documented premium wagers on Monarchs games in the last decade, winning 14, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 82.40% and profits of $10820.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 146.9. Together, the teams average 135 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 140.95, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Old Dominion Monarchs is 79.5 while the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs bring a rating of 72.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Old Dominion is -7.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Tom Collins says, take the Old Dominion Monarchs -8/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Tom Collins betting on or against the Old Dominion Monarchs: 14-3/82.40%, +10820.00)


Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Tom Collins

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