NCAAB Free Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers 2018-03-08

The Missouri Tigers (19-11) will meet the Georgia Bulldogs (16-14) here at Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri in this tussle. The line on the Tigers is -4.0 while the total shows at 130.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Southeastern, the Georgia Bulldogs rank number 11 in conference play. On the national stage, the Bulldogs currently sit at number 60 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Missouri Tigers currently rank number 8 in Southeastern conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 42 according to national oddsmakers.

MISSOURI V GEORGIA CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Georgia against the spread(4.0): 15%
  • Betting Georgia to win straight up(160): 99%
  • Betting Missouri against the spread(-4.0): 85%
  • Betting Missouri to win straight up(-185): 1%
  • Betting Over the Total(130.0): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(130.0): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: GEORGIA/MISSOURI

The Missouri Tigers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 11 documented premium wagers on Tigers games in the last decade, winning 9, next to just 2 for a winning rate of 81.80% and profits of $6880.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 142.9. Together, the teams average 134.8 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 138.85, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Missouri Tigers is 83.5 while the Georgia Bulldogs bring a rating of 80.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Missouri is -3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Steam Sports says, take the Missouri Tigers -4/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Steam Sports betting on or against the Missouri Tigers: 9-2/81.80%, +6880.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 SEC COLLEGE BASKETBALL CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TV: SEC, DTV: 611 POWER RATINGS: MISSOURI 86.5, GEORGIA 80.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Steam Sports


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