NCAAF Free Pick: Syracuse Orangemen at West Virginia Mountaineers 2018-12-28

NCAAF Free Pick: Syracuse Orangemen at West Virginia Mountaineers 2018-12-28

Friday, December 28, 2018, 5:15 PM: This NCAAF contest has the Orangemen of Syracuse on the road to Morgantown, West Virginia to face the West Virginia Mountaineers. The home line opened at 2.0 and for those betting college football totals, the number is set at 66.5.

Looking at Syracuse Orangemen (9-3) recently, we can see they are averaging 0.0 points per game over the last 30 days while allowing 0.0. Those numbers on the road over the last month are 0.0 points for and 0.0. For the season against the spread, the Orangemen are 4-0 and on the road against the spread, the record is 2-0. The total has gone over on 1 occasions compared to 3 times under the number. As the road team, the over-under is 1-1.

Meanwhile, a recent look at the West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) over the last 30 days shows them averaging 0.0 points for and 0.0 points against per game on average while the differential here at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium over the past 30 days is 0.0-0.0. For college football bettors making NCAAF picks against the line, the Mountaineers are 3-0 ATS overall and 2-0 as the home team. As for the total in Mountaineers games, the Over-Under result this season has been 1-2 overall and 0-1 here on the home field.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Syracuse against the spread(-2.0): 85%
  • Betting Syracuse to win straight up(-110): 78%
  • Betting West Virginia against the spread(2.0): 15%
  • Betting West Virginia to win straight up(-110): 22%
  • Betting Over the Total(66.5): 61%
  • Betting Under the Total(66.5): 39%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The West Virginia Mountaineers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 8 documented premium wagers on Mountaineers games in the last decade, winning 8, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $8000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 83.1. Together, the teams average 54.3 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 68.7, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Mountaineers is 88.0 while the visiting Orangemen bring a rating of 77.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for West Virginia is -11.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Pro Consensus says, take the West Virginia Mountaineers 2/-110
(Record for Professional Handicapper Pro Consensus betting on or against the West Virginia Mountaineers: 8-0/100.00%, +8000.00)


Posted on Thursday, December 27, 2018 by Pro Consensus
Syracuse Orangemen, West Virginia Mountaineers, college football picks, college football handicapping, ncaa football betting, sports betting, college football odds, ncaa football lines, bet sports, sportsbooks, sportsbook, bowl championship series, bcs

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