NCAAF Free Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack at Toledo Rockets 2018-09-22

NCAAF Free Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack at Toledo Rockets 2018-09-22

In NCAAF action today, the Toledo Rockets (1-1) host the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-1) in a much-anticipated contest. The line on the host Rockets is -10.0 while the total is pegged at 67.5. The kick off is set for 12:00 PM.

Currently, the MWC - West #2 ranked team, the Nevada Wolf Pack arrive in averaging 39.7 ppg while allowing 31.7 ppg. Fans making college football picks against the spread will note Wolf Pack record of 1-2 against the spread and an Over/Under ledger that sits at 2-1.

Meanwhile, the Toledo Rockets hold down the #2 position in the MAC West. They score on average 45.0 ppg and concede an average of 26.0 ppg. Betting on the Rockets against the spread has produced a 1-1 record while betting the totals has gone 1 Over and 0 Under.

NEVADA WOLF PACK VS TOLEDO ROCKETS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Nevada against the spread(10.0): 25%
  • Betting Nevada to win straight up(292): 94%
  • Betting Toledo against the spread(-10.0): 75%
  • Betting Toledo to win straight up(-365): 6%
  • Betting Over the Total(67.5): 87%
  • Betting Under the Total(67.5): 13%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

NEVADA WOLF PACK VS TOLEDO ROCKETS COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK

The Toledo Rockets is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 12 documented premium wagers on Rockets games in the last decade, winning 10, next to just 2 for a winning rate of 83.30% and profits of $7840.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 84.7. Together, the teams average 57.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 71.2, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Rockets is 71.5 while the visiting Wolf Pack bring a rating of 60.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Toledo is -11.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Jason Tanner says, take the Toledo Rockets -10/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Jason Tanner betting on or against the Toledo Rockets: 10-2/83.30%, +7840.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: CBSC, DTV: 221 POWER RATINGS: TOLEDO 71.5, NEVADA 60.0

Posted on Friday, September 21, 2018 by Jason Tanner
Nevada Wolf Pack, Toledo Rockets, college football picks, college football handicapping, ncaa football betting, sports betting, college football odds, ncaa football lines, bet sports, sportsbooks, sportsbook, bowl championship series, bcs


125% Gauranteed Pick Packages from Jason Tanner
NCAAF ADVANTAGE EDGE 3-PLAY PACKAGE!

Get the Top Advantage Edge NCAA Football plays - Guaranteed to earn You a profit. Don't Miss Out on the Strongest NCAAF Plays & Grab These Big Winners Now.

Number of Picks in this NCAAF Package (3) :: Expires on December 15th, 2018 at 12:00 PM

NFL ADVANTAGE EDGE 3 PLAY PACKAGE

Get the Top 3 Advantage Edge Football picks - Guaranteed to earn You a profit. Don't Miss Out on the Strongest NFL Plays & Grab THE Big Winners Now.

Number of Picks in this NFL Package (3) :: Expires on December 16th, 2018 at 1:00 PM

NCAAB ADVANTAGE EDGE PACKAGE

Get the Top Advantage Edge NCAA Basketball plays - Guaranteed to earn You a profit. Don't Miss Out on the Strongest NCAAB Plays & Grab These Big Winners Now.

Number of Picks in this NCAAB Package (5) :: Expires on December 15th, 2018 at 12:00 PM

NBA ADVANTAGE EDGE 5 PLAY PACKAGE

Get the Top Advantage Edge Basketball picks - Guaranteed to earn You a profit. Don't Miss Out on the Strongest NBA Plays & Grab These Big Winners Now.

Number of Picks in this NBA Package (4) :: Expires on December 15th, 2018 at 5:00 PM

SUNDAY NIGHT NFL ADVANTAGE EDGE TOP PLAY!

Get the Top Advantage Edge NFL Football plays - Guaranteed to earn You a profit. Don't Miss Out on the Strongest NFL Play & Grab This Big Winner Now.

Number of Picks in this NFL Package (1) :: Expires on December 16th, 2018 at 8:20 PM

NHL ADVANTAGE EDGE PACKAGE

Get the Top Advantage Edge NHL Hockey picks - Guaranteed to earn You a profit. Don't Miss Out on my Strongest Plays & Grab These Big Winners Now.

Number of Picks in this NHL Package (3) :: Expires on December 15th, 2018 at 7:00 PM

Subscribe today and never miss a free pick video