NHL Free Pick: New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres 2019-12-02
The New Jersey Devils visit First Niagara Center in Buffalo, New York to take on the Buffalo Sabres on Monday, December 2, 2019, with a start time of 8:00 PM. For those making NHL hockey picks on the game, the home line is -1.5 , and the total has been set to 6.0.
The New Jersey Devils enter this game with a 9-16 record including a 5-6 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Devils against the spread, they hold a record of 6-13. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 4-5 against the spread. In betting the total in 25 games played, Over the total has gone 10 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 9 occasions. On the road, New Jersey games have gone Over/Under 4-5 respectively.
The hometown Buffalo Sabres, meanwhile, bring a record of 12-15, including a 7-6 record here in Buffalo. When looking at making NHL picks against the spread, the Sabres hold a 14-11 record. Here at First Niagara Center, they are 8-5 against the betting line. When looking at hockey picks on the Over/Under, Buffalo has gone Over the total 12 times in 27 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 13 occasions. While playing on home ice, Sabres games have gone Over the Total 5 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 8 times.
NEW JERSEY DEVILS VS BUFFALO SABRES CONSENSUS REPORT
Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.
- Betting New Jersey against the spread(1.5): 51%
- Betting New Jersey to win straight up(110): 48%
- Betting Buffalo against the spread(-1.5): 49%
- Betting Buffalo to win straight up(-140): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(6.0): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(6.0): 50%
Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".
NEW JERSEY DEVILS VS BUFFALO SABRES NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK
The Buffalo Sabres is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 86 documented premium wagers on Sabres games in the last decade, winning 60, next to just 26 for a winning rate of 69.80% and profits of $28590.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.
Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 5.5. Together, the teams average 6.6 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 6.05, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.
To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Sabres is 3.8 while the visiting Devils bring a rating of 3.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Buffalo is -0.8.
Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.
Right Angle Advantage says, take the Buffalo Sabres 0/-140
(Record for Professional Handicapper Right Angle Advantage betting on or against the Buffalo Sabres: 60-26/69.80%, +28590.00)
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: BUFFALO 3.8, NEW JERSEY 3.0