NHL Free Pick: Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings 2018-03-08

The Joe Louis Arena in Detroit, Michigan is the arena today where the hometown Red Wings of Detroit skate with the visiting Vegas Golden Knights. The line on the Red Wings is 1.5 and the total is set at 6.0.

The Vegas Golden Knights (42-24) have an ATS record this season of 45-21. The game total has landed Over 36 times and fallen Under the total 36 times in Golden Knights games this season. On the road, as they are today, the Golden Knights are 25-8 ATS and 19-13 Over/Under.

The Detroit Red Wings (26-40) have an ATS record this season of 40-26. The game total in Detroit contests this season has landed Over 26 times and fallen Under the total 26 times. Here on home ice, the Red Wings are 18-16 ATS and 14-17 Over/Under.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Vegas against the spread(-1.5): 80%
  • Betting Vegas to win straight up(-140): 93%
  • Betting Detroit against the spread(1.5): 20%
  • Betting Detroit to win straight up(120): 7%
  • Betting Over the Total(6.0): 17%
  • Betting Under the Total(6.0): 83%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Detroit Red Wings is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 24 documented premium wagers on Red Wings games in the last decade, winning 19, next to just 5 for a winning rate of 79.20% and profits of $13760.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 6.1. Together, the teams average 5.8 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 5.95, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Red Wings is 3.6 while the visiting Golden Knights bring a rating of 3.8, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Detroit is 0.2.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Winning Incorporated says, take the Vegas Golden Knights 0/-143
(Record for Professional Handicapper Winning Incorporated betting on or against the Detroit Red Wings: 19-5/79.20%, +13760.00)


Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Winning Incorporated
Vegas Golden Knights, Detroit Red Wings, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips

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