NBA Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic 2018-04-06

NBA Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic 2018-04-06

Friday, April 6, 2018, 7:00 PM: This NBA contest has the Hornets of Charlotte on the road to Orlando, Florida to face the Orlando Magic. The home line opened at 6.0 and for those betting NBA basketball totals, the number is set at 211.5.

Looking at Charlotte Hornets (34-45) recently, we can see they are averaging 112.6 points per game over the last 30 days while allowing 113.0. Those numbers on the road over the last month are 107.4 points for and 112.3. For the season against the spread, the Hornets are 31-44 and on the road against the spread, the record is 14-22. The total has gone over on 39 occasions compared to 38 times under the number. As the road team, the over-under is 18-20.

Meanwhile, a recent look at the Orlando Magic (24-54) over the last 30 days shows them averaging 96.1 points for and 100.7 points against per game on average while the differential here at Amway Center over the past 30 days is 98.6-102.5. For NBA basketball bettors making NBA picks against the line, the Magic are 35-42 ATS overall and 15-24 as the home team. As for the total in Magic games, the Over-Under result this season has been 32-46 overall and 15-24 here on the home court.

CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS ORLANDO MAGIC EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Charlotte against the spread(-6.0): 16%
  • Betting Charlotte to win straight up(-250): 1%
  • Betting Orlando against the spread(6.0): 84%
  • Betting Orlando to win straight up(207): 99%
  • Betting Over the Total(211.5): 97%
  • Betting Under the Total(211.5): 3%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM THE BANKER

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Magic games (43-15/74.10%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Orlando 6.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Orlando -1.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

The Banker says, take the Charlotte Hornets -6/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper The Banker betting on or against the Orlando Magic: 43-15/74.10%, +25940.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: FS-Florida, FSSO, DTV: 646, 654 POWER RATINGS: ORLANDO 82.5, CHARLOTTE 81.0

Posted on Thursday, April 5, 2018 by The Banker
Charlotte Hornets, Orlando Magic, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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