Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens 2020-03-12 - Free NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

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The Buffalo Sabres visit Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec to take on the Montreal Canadiens on Thursday, March 12, 2020, with a start time of 7:00 PM. For those making NHL hockey picks on the game, the home line is -1.5 , and the total has been set to 6.0.

The Buffalo Sabres enter this game with a 30-39 record including a 10-24 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Sabres against the spread, they hold a record of 34-30. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 17-14 against the spread. In betting the total in 69 games played, Over the total has gone 30 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 31 occasions. On the road, Buffalo games have gone Over/Under 15-15 respectively.

The hometown Montreal Canadiens, meanwhile, bring a record of 31-40, including a 14-23 record here in Montreal. When looking at making NHL picks against the spread, the Canadiens hold a 25-36 record. Here at Bell Centre, they are 10-21 against the betting line. When looking at hockey picks on the Over/Under, Montreal has gone Over the total 29 times in 71 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 31 occasions. While playing on home ice, Canadiens games have gone Over the Total 13 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 16 times.

BUFFALO SABRES VS MONTREAL CANADIENS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Buffalo against the spread(1.5): 51%
  • Betting Buffalo to win straight up(135): 48%
  • Betting Montreal against the spread(-1.5): 49%
  • Betting Montreal to win straight up(-153): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(6.0): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(6.0): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

BUFFALO SABRES VS MONTREAL CANADIENS NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The Montreal Canadiens is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 120 documented premium wagers on Canadiens games in the last decade, winning 72, next to just 48 for a winning rate of 60.00% and profits of $24790.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 5.8. Together, the teams average 6.2 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 6, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Canadiens is 3.8 while the visiting Sabres bring a rating of 3.3, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Montreal is -0.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

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GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: MONTREAL 3.8, BUFFALO 3.3

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