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NHL Free Pick: Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers 2019-02-19

NHL Free Pick: Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers 2019-02-19

The Rexall Place in Edmonton, Alberta is the arena today where the hometown Oilers of Edmonton skate with the visiting Arizona Coyotes. The line on the Oilers is -1.5 and the total is set at 6.0.

The Arizona Coyotes (26-33) have an ATS record this season of 7-6. The game total has landed Over 5 times and fallen Under the total 5 times in Coyotes games this season. On the road, as they are today, the Coyotes are 2-2 ATS and 1-3 Over/Under.

The Edmonton Oilers (24-34) have an ATS record this season of 3-4. The game total in Edmonton contests this season has landed Over 3 times and fallen Under the total 3 times. Here on home ice, the Oilers are 1-2 ATS and 2-1 Over/Under.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Arizona against the spread(1.5): 51%
  • Betting Arizona to win straight up(130): 8%
  • Betting Edmonton against the spread(-1.5): 49%
  • Betting Edmonton to win straight up(-157): 92%
  • Betting Over the Total(6.0): 62%
  • Betting Under the Total(6.0): 38%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Edmonton Oilers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 177 documented premium wagers on Oilers games in the last decade, winning 120, next to just 57 for a winning rate of 67.80% and profits of $16020.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 5.4. Together, the teams average 6.3 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 5.85, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Oilers is 3.6 while the visiting Coyotes bring a rating of 3.3, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Edmonton is -0.3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Eduardo Costa Verez says, take the Edmonton Oilers 0/-157
(Record for Professional Handicapper Eduardo Costa Verez betting on or against the Edmonton Oilers: 120-57/67.80%, +16020.00)

GAME NOTES: Ari-G-Darcy Kuemper-Probable | TV: FS-Arizona, DTV: 686 POWER RATINGS: EDMONTON 3.6, ARIZONA 3.3

Posted on Monday, February 18, 2019 by Eduardo Costa Verez
Arizona Coyotes, Edmonton Oilers, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips

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