NHL Free Pick: Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils 2018-03-08

This NHL hockey matchup pits the Jets of Winnipeg against the New Jersey Devils here at Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Devils of 1.5 while the total sits at 5.5. Start time is 7:05 PM.

The Winnipeg Jets (40-26) are averaging 3.4 points per game this season while allowing 2.7. Those numbers on the road are 2.9 points for and 2.8. Betting against the Las Vegas number, the Winnipeg is 35-31 overall and 20-13 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 34 Jets games while Under the total has cashed in 30 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 14-19.

The points scoring for the New Jersey Devils (34-33) has averaged 3.0 points for and 3.0 points against on average while the home differential is 3.0-2.9. Against the spread, NHL handicappers betting on the Devils have gone 37-30 overall and 14-20 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Devils games has gone 33-32 overall and 16-17 on home ice.

WINNIPEG JETS VS NEW JERSEY DEVILS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Winnipeg against the spread(-1.5): 15%
  • Betting Winnipeg to win straight up(-115): 93%
  • Betting New Jersey against the spread(1.5): 85%
  • Betting New Jersey to win straight up(-105): 7%
  • Betting Over the Total(5.5): 78%
  • Betting Under the Total(5.5): 22%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

WINNIPEG JETS VS NEW JERSEY DEVILS NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The New Jersey Devils is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 69 documented premium wagers on Devils games in the last decade, winning 51, next to just 18 for a winning rate of 73.90% and profits of $13020.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 6.4. Together, the teams average 5.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 6.05, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Devils is 3.8 while the visiting Jets bring a rating of 3.8, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for New Jersey is 0.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Eduardo Costa Verez says, take the Winnipeg Jets 0/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Eduardo Costa Verez betting on or against the New Jersey Devils: 51-18/73.90%, +13020.00)

GAME NOTES: jts-C-Mark Scheifele-Doubtful | TV: MSG+, DTV: 635 POWER RATINGS: NEW JERSEY 3.8, WINNIPEG 3.8

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Eduardo Costa Verez
Winnipeg Jets, New Jersey Devils, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips

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