NHL Free Pick: Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings 2018-03-08

The Capitals of Washington travels to Los Angeles, California in this matchup to collide with the Los Angeles Kings. The puck drop on this game at 10:35 PM. For those handicappers out there making expert picks on the game, the home line is set at -1.5 while the total is hung at 5.5.

The Washington Capitals (37-29) hold a road record of 14-18 record on the road and are 16-16 on the road when betting the Vegas line. As for the game total, Capitals road games have gone over the total 21 times and 11 have landed under the total.

The hometown Los Angeles Kings (36-30), have a record on their home ice of 16-15 and are 10-21 against the spread. Those who are betting hockey picks on the total will note the Kings record of 16 over and 15 under here at Staples Center.

WASHINGTON CAPITALS VS LOS ANGELES KINGS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Washington against the spread(1.5): 15%
  • Betting Washington to win straight up(115): 46%
  • Betting Los Angeles against the spread(-1.5): 85%
  • Betting Los Angeles to win straight up(-135): 54%
  • Betting Over the Total(5.5): 10%
  • Betting Under the Total(5.5): 90%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

WASHINGTON CAPITALS VS LOS ANGELES KINGS NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The Los Angeles Kings is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 26 documented premium wagers on Kings games in the last decade, winning 18, next to just 8 for a winning rate of 69.20% and profits of $5930.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 6. Together, the teams average 5.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 5.75, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Kings is 4.1 while the visiting Capitals bring a rating of 3.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Los Angeles is -0.6.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Capper Consensus says, take the Los Angeles Kings 0/-135
(Record for Professional Handicapper Capper Consensus betting on or against the Los Angeles Kings: 18-8/69.20%, +5930.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: FS-West, DTV: 692 POWER RATINGS: LOS ANGELES 4.1, WASHINGTON 3.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Capper Consensus
Washington Capitals, Los Angeles Kings, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips


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