NHL Free Pick: St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks 2018-03-08

The Blues of St. Louis travels to San Jose, California in this matchup to collide with the San Jose Sharks. The puck drop on this game at 10:35 PM. For those handicappers out there making expert picks on the game, the home line is set at -1.5 while the total is hung at 5.5.

The St. Louis Blues (35-31) hold a road record of 15-17 record on the road and are 20-12 on the road when betting the Vegas line. As for the game total, Blues road games have gone over the total 13 times and 19 have landed under the total.

The hometown San Jose Sharks (35-31), have a record on their home ice of 19-13 and are 12-20 against the spread. Those who are betting hockey picks on the total will note the Sharks record of 15 over and 16 under here at SAP Center at San Jose.

ST. LOUIS BLUES VS SAN JOSE SHARKS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting St. Louis against the spread(1.5): 15%
  • Betting St. Louis to win straight up(126): 27%
  • Betting San Jose against the spread(-1.5): 85%
  • Betting San Jose to win straight up(-146): 73%
  • Betting Over the Total(5.5): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(5.5): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

ST. LOUIS BLUES VS SAN JOSE SHARKS NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The San Jose Sharks is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 149 documented premium wagers on Sharks games in the last decade, winning 111, next to just 38 for a winning rate of 74.50% and profits of $19710.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 5.7. Together, the teams average 5.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 5.6, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Sharks is 3.8 while the visiting Blues bring a rating of 3.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for San Jose is -0.3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Eduardo Costa Verez says, take the San Jose Sharks 0/-150
(Record for Professional Handicapper Eduardo Costa Verez betting on or against the San Jose Sharks: 111-38/74.50%, +19710.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: FS-Midwest, DTV: 671 POWER RATINGS: SAN JOSE 3.8, ST. LOUIS 3.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Eduardo Costa Verez
St. Louis Blues, San Jose Sharks, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips


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