NHL Free Pick: New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning 2018-03-08

The New York Rangers visit Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, March 8, 2018, with a start time of 7:35 PM. For those making NHL hockey picks on the game, the home line is -1.5 , and the total has been set to 6.0.

The New York Rangers enter this game with a 30-37 record including a 12-20 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Rangers against the spread, they hold a record of 31-36. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 16-16 against the spread. In betting the total in 67 games played, Over the total has gone 34 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 31 occasions. On the road, New York games have gone Over/Under 15-17 respectively.

The hometown Tampa Bay Lightning, meanwhile, bring a record of 46-21, including a 23-8 record here in Toronto. When looking at making NHL picks against the spread, the Lightning hold a 33-34 record. Here at Air Canada Centre, they are 10-21 against the betting line. When looking at hockey picks on the Over/Under, Tampa Bay has gone Over the total 43 times in 67 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 22 occasions. While playing on home ice, Lightning games have gone Over the Total 21 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 10 times.

NEW YORK RANGERS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting New York against the spread(1.5): 3%
  • Betting New York to win straight up(234): 1%
  • Betting Tampa Bay against the spread(-1.5): 97%
  • Betting Tampa Bay to win straight up(-290): 99%
  • Betting Over the Total(6.0): 90%
  • Betting Under the Total(6.0): 10%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

NEW YORK RANGERS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The Tampa Bay Lightning is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 40 documented premium wagers on Lightning games in the last decade, winning 30, next to just 10 for a winning rate of 75.00% and profits of $16210.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 6.5. Together, the teams average 6 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 6.25, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Lightning is 4.3 while the visiting Rangers bring a rating of 3.3, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Tampa Bay is -1.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

High Rollers Club says, take the Tampa Bay Lightning 0/-275
(Record for Professional Handicapper High Rollers Club betting on or against the Tampa Bay Lightning: 30-10/75.00%, +16210.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: MSG, SunSports, TVA, DTV: 634, 653 POWER RATINGS: TAMPA BAY 4.3, NEW YORK 3.3

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by High Rollers Club
New York Rangers, Tampa Bay Lightning, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips


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