NHL Free Pick: New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers 2018-03-08

The Edmonton Oilers (28-38) will play host to the New York Islanders (29-38) here at Rexall Place in this tilt on Thursday, March 8, 2018, to skate with the Edmonton Oilers (28-38) . The line on the Oilers is -1.5 while the total shows at 6.5. For those looking to find the twine with your NHL hockey picks today, you have come to the right place.

The Oilers have been better at home, where they are 14-19 and average 2.9 points per game. Betting against the Vegas number, Edmonton is 8-25 here in Edmonton while the total has gone over 17 times compared to 15 times under the total.

The average points scored on the road for the visiting Islanders is 3.0 and comes alongside a record of 34-33 against the spread as the visitor this season. The total has gone over the number 40 times while falling under the total on 24 occasions.

NEW YORK ISLANDERS VS EDMONTON OILERS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting New York against the spread(1.5): 15%
  • Betting New York to win straight up(115): 18%
  • Betting Edmonton against the spread(-1.5): 85%
  • Betting Edmonton to win straight up(-135): 82%
  • Betting Over the Total(6.5): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(6.5): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

NEW YORK ISLANDERS VS EDMONTON OILERS NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The Edmonton Oilers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 38 documented premium wagers on Oilers games in the last decade, winning 23, next to just 15 for a winning rate of 60.50% and profits of $5870.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 6. Together, the teams average 6.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 6.45, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Oilers is 3.6 while the visiting Islanders bring a rating of 3.3, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Edmonton is -0.3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Capper Consensus says, take the Edmonton Oilers 0/-145
(Record for Professional Handicapper Capper Consensus betting on or against the Edmonton Oilers: 23-15/60.50%, +5870.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: MSG+, DTV: 635 POWER RATINGS: EDMONTON 3.6, NEW YORK 3.3

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Capper Consensus
New York Islanders, Edmonton Oilers, NHL Free Picks, NHL Predictions, Betting the Puckline, NHL Betting, NHL Tips


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