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NHL Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets 2018-03-08

NHL Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets 2018-03-08

The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Colorado Avalanche in NHL hockey action in this game. The line on the hometown Blue Jackets is -1.5, the total on the game is 6.0 and puck drop is set for 7:05 PM.

The Colorado Avalanche enter this game with a 35-31 record including a 12-21 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Avalanche against the spread, they hold a record of 43-23. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 16-17 against the spread. In betting the total in 66 games played, Over the total has gone 35 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 27 occasions. On the road, Colorado games have gone Over/Under 18-13 respectively.

The Columbus Blue Jackets of enter this game with a 34-33 record including a 20-13 record here at home. When it comes to betting the Blue Jackets against the spread, they hold a record of 27-40. As the home team, as they are in this game, they are 12-21 against the spread. In betting the total in 67 games played, Over the total has gone 30 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 35 occasions. Here at home, Over the Total has hit 12 times in Columbus games while the end result has fallen Under the Total 20 times.

COLORADO AVALANCHE VS COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Colorado against the spread(1.5): 51%
  • Betting Colorado to win straight up(125): 16%
  • Betting Columbus against the spread(-1.5): 49%
  • Betting Columbus to win straight up(-145): 84%
  • Betting Over the Total(6.0): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(6.0): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLORADO AVALANCHE VS COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS NHL HOCKEY FREE PICK

The Columbus Blue Jackets is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 18 documented premium wagers on Blue Jackets games in the last decade, winning 14, next to just 4 for a winning rate of 77.80% and profits of $11810.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 5.8. Together, the teams average 5.8 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 5.8, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Blue Jackets is 3.8 while the visiting Avalanche bring a rating of 3.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Columbus is -0.3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Pro Consensus says, take the Columbus Blue Jackets 0/-145
(Record for Professional Handicapper Pro Consensus betting on or against the Columbus Blue Jackets: 14-4/77.80%, +11810.00)

GAME NOTES: BLJ-G-Sergei Bobrovsky-? | TV: Altitude, FS-Ohio, DTV: 660, 681 POWER RATINGS: COLUMBUS 3.8, COLORADO 3.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Pro Consensus

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