NCAAF Free Pick: Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers 2018-11-23

NCAAF Free Pick: Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers 2018-11-23

The Oklahoma Sooners (10-1) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium on Friday, November 23, 2018, to grapple with the West Virginia Mountaineers (8-2). The home line is 3.5, the total is set at 86.0 and the start time is 8:00 PM.

The Sooners have a record against the spread of 1-4 this season and are averaging 49.5 points per contest while allowing 30.7. The total has gone over the posted line 4 times while staying under the total in 1 instances.

On the other side of the field, the Mountaineers have a record against the number of 3-0, averaging 40.9 points per contest while opponents score an average of 23.3 against them. The total has gone over the posted line 1 times in Mountaineers games while staying under the total in 2 instances.

OKLAHOMA SOONERS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Oklahoma against the spread(-3.5): 52%
  • Betting Oklahoma to win straight up(-149): 63%
  • Betting West Virginia against the spread(3.5): 48%
  • Betting West Virginia to win straight up(132): 37%
  • Betting Over the Total(86.0): 82%
  • Betting Under the Total(86.0): 18%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

OKLAHOMA SOONERS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK

The West Virginia Mountaineers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 7 documented premium wagers on Mountaineers games in the last decade, winning 7, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $7000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 90.4. Together, the teams average 54 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 72.2, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Mountaineers is 89.0 while the visiting Sooners bring a rating of 90.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for West Virginia is 1.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Pro Consensus says, take the Oklahoma Sooners -2/-110
(Record for Professional Handicapper Pro Consensus betting on or against the West Virginia Mountaineers: 7-0/100.00%, +7000.00)

GAME NOTES: OKL-RB-Rodney Anderson-OUT | TV: ESPN, DTV: 206 POWER RATINGS: WEST VIRGINIA 89.0, OKLAHOMA 90.0

Posted on Thursday, November 22, 2018 by
Oklahoma Sooners, West Virginia Mountaineers, college football picks, college football handicapping, ncaa football betting, sports betting, college football odds, ncaa football lines, bet sports, sportsbooks, sportsbook, bowl championship series, bcs


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