NCAAF Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats 2018-09-22

NCAAF Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats 2018-09-22

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) will play host to the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-0) here at Home Venue in this tilt on Saturday, September 22, 2018, to grapple with the Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) . The line on the Wildcats is 9.5 while the total shows at 56.0. For those looking to go for paydirt with your college football picks today, you have come to the right place.

The Wildcats have been better at home, where they are 2-0 and average 41.5 points per game. Betting against the Vegas number, Kentucky is 0-2 here in while the total has gone over 1 times compared to 0 times under the total.

The average points scored on the road for the visiting Bulldogs is 31.0 and comes alongside a record of 3-0 against the spread as the visitor this season. The total has gone over the number 2 times while falling under the total on 1 occasions.

MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS VS KENTUCKY WILDCATS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Mississippi State against the spread(-9.5): 64%
  • Betting Mississippi State to win straight up(-360): 25%
  • Betting Kentucky against the spread(9.5): 36%
  • Betting Kentucky to win straight up(289): 75%
  • Betting Over the Total(56.0): 2%
  • Betting Under the Total(56.0): 98%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK FROM THE PUBLIC ENEMY

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Wildcats games (6-1/85.70%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Kentucky 9.5) compared to where we feel it should be (Kentucky 13.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

The Public Enemy says, take the Mississippi State Bulldogs -9/-107
(Record for Professional Handicapper The Public Enemy betting on or against the Kentucky Wildcats: 6-1/85.70%, +5000.00)

GAME NOTES: Time-change to 07:00pm EDT | TV: ESPN2, DTV: 209 POWER RATINGS: KENTUCKY 75.5, MISSISSIPPI STATE 89.0

Posted on Friday, September 21, 2018 by The Public Enemy
Mississippi State Bulldogs, Kentucky Wildcats, college football picks, college football handicapping, ncaa football betting, sports betting, college football odds, ncaa football lines, bet sports, sportsbooks, sportsbook, bowl championship series, bcs


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