Virginia Commonwealth Rams at Massachusetts Minutemen 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

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In NCAAB action today, the Massachusetts Minutemen (9-15) host the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (17-11) in a much-anticipated contest. The line on the host Minutemen is 7.0 while the total is pegged at 136.5. The tip-off is set for 12:00 PM.

Currently, the Atlantic 10 #6 ranked team, the Virginia Commonwealth Rams arrive in Amherst averaging 70.7 ppg while allowing 65.2 ppg. Fans making college basketball picks against the spread will note Rams record of 9-15 against the spread and an Over/Under ledger that sits at 14-10.

Meanwhile, the Massachusetts Minutemen hold down the #12 position in the Atlantic 10. They score on average 68.5 ppg and concede an average of 71.2 ppg. Betting on the Minutemen against the spread has produced a 18-8 record while betting the totals has gone 13 Over and 13 Under.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Virginia Commonwealth against the spread(-7.0): 51%
  • Betting Virginia Commonwealth to win straight up(-300): 48%
  • Betting Massachusetts against the spread(7.0): 49%
  • Betting Massachusetts to win straight up(247): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(136.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(136.5): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Massachusetts Minutemen is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 70 documented premium wagers on Minutemen games in the last decade, winning 49, next to just 21 for a winning rate of 70.00% and profits of $26490.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 139.2. Together, the teams average 136.4 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 137.8, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Minutemen is 68.0 while the visiting Rams bring a rating of 81.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Massachusetts is 13.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

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