Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Welcome to Austin, Texas for this tussle pitting the visiting Texas Tech Red Raiders against the hometown Texas Longhorns in the friendly confines of Frank Erwin Center. Las Vegas oddsmakers have posted a line on the Longhorns of 5.5 and set the total at 125.0.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-22) are averaging 71.6 points per game this season while allowing 63.8, which has led to a record of 11-16 against the spread this season. On the road against the betting line, the record for the Red Raiders is 4-6. The number has gone over the total on 14 occasions while falling under the total 13 times. As the road team, those numbers are 5 over and 5 under.
On the other side of the court, the Longhorns of Texas (14-13) have averaged 64.2 points for and 63.3 points against on the season. On home court, those numbers change to 67.2-61.8. For those making college basketball picks against the spread, the Longhorns are 12-12 ATS on the season and5-8 ATS as the home team. Over the total has cashed 13 times this season in Longhorns games while under the total has paid off 13 times. The home record for Over/Under in Longhorns games is 6-8.
TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW
Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.
- Betting Texas Tech against the spread(-5.5): 51%
- Betting Texas Tech to win straight up(): 48%
- Betting Texas against the spread(5.5): 49%
- Betting Texas to win straight up(): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(125.0): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(125.0): 50%
These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM THE BANKER
We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Longhorns games (15-9/62.50%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.
This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Texas 5.5) compared to where we feel it should be (Texas -17.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: TEXAS 78.5, TEXAS TECH 61.0