Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio State Buckeyes 2020-03-12 - Free NCAAB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
This college basketball matchup pits the Boilermakers of Purdue against the Ohio State Buckeyes here at Value City Arena in Columbus, Ohio. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Buckeyes of -1.5 while the total sits at 128.5. Start time is 6:30 PM.
The Purdue Boilermakers (14-14) are averaging 68.2 points per game this season while allowing 62.6. Those numbers on the road are 61.4 points for and 65.8. Betting against the Las Vegas number, Purdue is 12-15 overall and 3-8 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 16 Boilermakers games while Under the total has cashed in 12 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 5-7.
The points scoring for the Ohio State Buckeyes (18-9) has averaged 72.1 points for and 62.9 points against on average while the home differential is 74.9-59.2. Against the spread, NCAAB handicappers betting on the Buckeyes have gone 16-10 overall and 12-4 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Buckeyes games has gone 12-14 overall and 7-9 on home court.
PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS OHIO STATE BUCKEYES CONSENSUS REPORT
Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.
- Betting Purdue against the spread(1.5): 51%
- Betting Purdue to win straight up(104): 48%
- Betting Ohio State against the spread(-1.5): 49%
- Betting Ohio State to win straight up(-121): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(128.5): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(128.5): 50%
Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".
PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS OHIO STATE BUCKEYES COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK
The Ohio State Buckeyes is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 27 documented premium wagers on Buckeyes games in the last decade, winning 20, next to just 7 for a winning rate of 74.10% and profits of $12300.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.
Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 140.3. Together, the teams average 125.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 132.9, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.
To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Buckeyes is 91.0 while the visiting Boilermakers bring a rating of 86.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Ohio State is -5.
Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: OHIO STATE 91.0, PURDUE 86.0