NCAAB Free Pick: South Florida Bulls at DePaul Blue Demons 2019-04-05
The South Florida Bulls visit Allstate Arena in Rosemont, Illinois to take on the DePaul Blue Demons on Friday, April 5, 2019, with a start time of 7:00 PM. For those making college basketball picks on the game, the home line is -1.0 , and the total has been set to 146.0.
The South Florida Bulls enter this game with a 17-15 record including a 5-7 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Bulls against the spread, they hold a record of 1-0. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 1-0 against the spread. In betting the total in 32 games played, Over the total has gone 0 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 1 occasions. On the road, South Florida games have gone Over/Under 0-1 respectively.
The hometown DePaul Blue Demons, meanwhile, bring a record of 16-15, including a 16-6 record here in Rosemont. When looking at making NCAAB picks against the spread, the Blue Demons hold a 1-1 record. Here at Allstate Arena, they are 1-1 against the betting line. When looking at basketball picks on the Over/Under, DePaul has gone Over the total 0 times in 31 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 2 occasions. While playing on home court, Blue Demons games have gone Over the Total 0 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 2 times.
SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS VS DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS CONSENSUS REPORT
Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.
- Betting South Florida against the spread(1.0): 65%
- Betting South Florida to win straight up(105): 18%
- Betting DePaul against the spread(-1.0): 35%
- Betting DePaul to win straight up(-125): 82%
- Betting Over the Total(146.0): 87%
- Betting Under the Total(146.0): 13%
Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".
SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS VS DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK
The DePaul Blue Demons is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 18 documented premium wagers on Blue Demons games in the last decade, winning 14, next to just 4 for a winning rate of 77.80% and profits of $9780.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.
Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 150.3. Together, the teams average 143.6 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 146.95, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.
To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Blue Demons is 80.0 while the visiting Bulls bring a rating of 74.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for DePaul is -5.5.
Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.
Lou Barry says, take the DePaul Blue Demons -1/-105
(Record for Professional Handicapper Lou Barry betting on or against the DePaul Blue Demons: 14-4/77.80%, +9780.00)
GAME NOTES: Date/Time change to 04/05/19 07:00:00pm EDT | TV: ESPNU, DTV: 208 POWER RATINGS: DEPAUL 80.0, SOUTH FLORIDA 74.5