NCAAB Free Pick: Louisiana State Tigers at Michigan State Spartans 2019-03-29
Welcome to East Lansing, Michigan for this tussle pitting the visiting Louisiana State Tigers against the hometown Michigan State Spartans in the friendly confines of Breslin Student Events Center. Las Vegas oddsmakers have posted a line on the Spartans of -6.0 and set the total at 148.0.
The Louisiana State Tigers (4-27) are averaging 80.1 points per game this season while allowing 72.7, which has led to a record of 0-1 against the spread this season. On the road against the betting line, the record for the Tigers is 0-0. The number has gone over the total on 1 occasions while falling under the total 0 times. As the road team, those numbers are 0 over and 0 under.
On the other side of the court, the Spartans of Michigan State (9-21) have averaged 78.7 points for and 65.1 points against on the season. On home court, those numbers change to 81.2-62.4. For those making college basketball picks against the spread, the Spartans are 2-0 ATS on the season and0-0 ATS as the home team. Over the total has cashed 0 times this season in Spartans games while under the total has paid off 2 times. The home record for Over/Under in Spartans games is 0-0.
LOUISIANA STATE TIGERS VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW
Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.
- Betting Louisiana State against the spread(6.0): 36%
- Betting Louisiana State to win straight up(230): 52%
- Betting Michigan State against the spread(-6.0): 64%
- Betting Michigan State to win straight up(-280): 48%
- Betting Over the Total(148.0): 54%
- Betting Under the Total(148.0): 46%
These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM MIKE PETERS
We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Spartans games (11-4/73.30%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.
This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Michigan State -6.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Michigan State -10.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.
Mike Peters says, take the Michigan State Spartans -6/-114
(Record for Professional Handicapper Mike Peters betting on or against the Michigan State Spartans: 11-4/73.30%, +6800.00)
GAME NOTES: MSU-G-Joshua Langford-OUT | TV: CBS POWER RATINGS: MICHIGAN STATE 70.0, LOUISIANA STATE 59.5