NCAAB Free Pick: Bakersfield Roadrunners at Green Bay Phoenix 2019-03-29

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The Bakersfield Roadrunners visit Resch Center in Ashwaubenon, Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Phoenix on Friday, March 29, 2019, with a start time of 6:00 PM. For those making college basketball picks on the game, the home line is -6.0 , and the total has been set to 156.5.

The Bakersfield Roadrunners enter this game with a 14-15 record including a 8-8 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Roadrunners against the spread, they hold a record of 0-1. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 0-1 against the spread. In betting the total in 29 games played, Over the total has gone 0 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 1 occasions. On the road, Bakersfield games have gone Over/Under 0-1 respectively.

The hometown Green Bay Phoenix, meanwhile, bring a record of 16-16, including a 13-3 record here in Ashwaubenon. When looking at making NCAAB picks against the spread, the Phoenix hold a 0-1 record. Here at Resch Center, they are 0-1 against the betting line. When looking at basketball picks on the Over/Under, Green Bay has gone Over the total 0 times in 32 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 1 occasions. While playing on home court, Phoenix games have gone Over the Total 0 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 1 times.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Bakersfield against the spread(6.0): 48%
  • Betting Bakersfield to win straight up(214): 16%
  • Betting Green Bay against the spread(-6.0): 52%
  • Betting Green Bay to win straight up(-257): 84%
  • Betting Over the Total(156.5): 95%
  • Betting Under the Total(156.5): 5%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Green Bay Phoenix is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 9 documented premium wagers on Phoenix games in the last decade, winning 8, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 88.90% and profits of $6920.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 151.1. Together, the teams average 149.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 150.5, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Phoenix is 72.5 while the visiting Roadrunners bring a rating of 67.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Green Bay is -5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Total Sports says, take the Green Bay Phoenix -6/-110
(Record for Professional Handicapper Total Sports betting on or against the Green Bay Phoenix: 8-1/88.90%, +6920.00)


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