NCAAB Free Pick: Loyola Marymount Lions at South Florida Bulls 2019-03-28

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The USF Sun Dome in Tampa, Florida is the battleground today where the hometown Bulls of South Florida tussle with the visiting Loyola Marymount Lions. The line on the Bulls is -4.5 and the total is set at 132.0.

The Loyola Marymount Lions (19-14) have an ATS record this season of 0-0. The game total has landed Over 0 times and fallen Under the total 0 times in Lions games this season. On the road, as they are today, the Lions are 0-0 ATS and 0-0 Over/Under.

The South Florida Bulls (17-15) have an ATS record this season of 1-0. The game total in South Florida contests this season has landed Over 0 times and fallen Under the total 0 times. Here on home court, the Bulls are 0-0 ATS and 0-0 Over/Under.

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Loyola Marymount against the spread(4.5): 6%
  • Betting Loyola Marymount to win straight up(170): 24%
  • Betting South Florida against the spread(-4.5): 94%
  • Betting South Florida to win straight up(-200): 76%
  • Betting Over the Total(132.0): 20%
  • Betting Under the Total(132.0): 80%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The South Florida Bulls is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 8 documented premium wagers on Bulls games in the last decade, winning 7, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 87.50% and profits of $6050.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 140.1. Together, the teams average 130.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 135.4, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Bulls is 77.5 while the visiting Lions bring a rating of 76.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for South Florida is -1.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Eduardo Costa Verez says, take the Loyola Marymount Lions 5/-116
(Record for Professional Handicapper Eduardo Costa Verez betting on or against the South Florida Bulls: 7-1/87.50%, +6050.00)

GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: SOUTH FLORIDA 77.5, LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 76.0

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