NCAAB Free Pick: Michigan Wolverines at Villanova Wildcats 2018-04-02

NCAAB Free Pick: Michigan Wolverines at Villanova Wildcats 2018-04-02

The Villanova Wildcats (27-4) will meet the Michigan Wolverines (27-7) here at Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas in this tussle. The line on the Wildcats is -6.5 while the total shows at 144.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Big Ten, the Michigan Wolverines rank number 3 in conference play. On the national stage, the Wolverines currently sit at number 12 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Villanova Wildcats currently rank number 1 in Big East conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 1 according to national oddsmakers.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Michigan against the spread(6.5): 51%
  • Betting Michigan to win straight up(260): 48%
  • Betting Villanova against the spread(-6.5): 49%
  • Betting Villanova to win straight up(-302): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(144.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(144.5): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Villanova Wildcats is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 18 documented premium wagers on Wildcats games in the last decade, winning 15, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 83.30% and profits of $11810.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 160.7. Together, the teams average 133.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 147.2, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Villanova Wildcats is 94.0 while the Michigan Wolverines bring a rating of 88.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Villanova is -6.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Steam Sports says, take the Villanova Wildcats -7/-109
(Record for Professional Handicapper Steam Sports betting on or against the Villanova Wildcats: 15-3/83.30%, +11810.00)


Posted on Sunday, April 1, 2018 by Steam Sports
Michigan Wolverines, Villanova Wildcats, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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