NCAAB Free Pick: Illinois - Chicago Flames at Northern Colorado Bears 2018-03-30

NCAAB Free Pick: Illinois - Chicago Flames at Northern Colorado Bears 2018-03-30

The Illinois - Chicago Flames visit Butler–Hancock Sports Pavilion in Greeley, Colorodo to take on the Northern Colorado Bears on Friday, March 30, 2018, with a start time of 7:00 PM. For those making college basketball picks on the game, the home line is -9.5 , and the total has been set to 158.0.

The Illinois - Chicago Flames enter this game with a 15-15 record including a 9-7 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Flames against the spread, they hold a record of 14-14. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 9-5 against the spread. In betting the total in 30 games played, Over the total has gone 14 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 14 occasions. On the road, Illinois - Chicago games have gone Over/Under 6-8 respectively.

The hometown Northern Colorado Bears, meanwhile, bring a record of 17-11, including a 13-2 record here in Greeley. When looking at making NCAAB picks against the spread, the Bears hold a 17-8 record. Here at Butler–Hancock Sports Pavilion, they are 7-2 against the betting line. When looking at basketball picks on the Over/Under, Northern Colorado has gone Over the total 14 times in 28 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 13 occasions. While playing on home court, Bears games have gone Over the Total 5 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 4 times.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Illinois - Chicago against the spread(9.5): 45%
  • Betting Illinois - Chicago to win straight up(400): 37%
  • Betting Northern Colorado against the spread(-9.5): 55%
  • Betting Northern Colorado to win straight up(-525): 63%
  • Betting Over the Total(158.0): 92%
  • Betting Under the Total(158.0): 8%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Northern Colorado Bears is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 11 documented premium wagers on Bears games in the last decade, winning 11, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $11000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 156. Together, the teams average 145.3 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 150.65, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Bears is 75.0 while the visiting Flames bring a rating of 68.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Northern Colorado is -6.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Right Angle Advantage says, take the Northern Colorado Bears -9/-107
(Record for Professional Handicapper Right Angle Advantage betting on or against the Northern Colorado Bears: 11-0/100.00%, +11000.00)


Posted on Thursday, March 29, 2018 by Right Angle Advantage
Illinois - Chicago Flames, Northern Colorado Bears, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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