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NCAAB Free Pick: Sam Houston State BearKats at Northern Colorado Bears 2018-03-28

NCAAB Free Pick: Sam Houston State BearKats at Northern Colorado Bears 2018-03-28

The Northern Colorado Bears host the Sam Houston State BearKats in college basketball action in this game. The line on the hometown Bears is -10.5, the total on the game is 150.5 and tip-off is set for 9:00 PM.

The Sam Houston State BearKats enter this game with a 14-13 record including a 4-7 record on the road. When it comes to betting the BearKats against the spread, they hold a record of 4-3. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 2-2 against the spread. In betting the total in 27 games played, Over the total has gone 3 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 4 occasions. On the road, Sam Houston State games have gone Over/Under 2-2 respectively.

The Northern Colorado Bears of enter this game with a 17-11 record including a 12-2 record here at home. When it comes to betting the Bears against the spread, they hold a record of 16-8. As the home team, as they are in this game, they are 6-2 against the spread. In betting the total in 28 games played, Over the total has gone 13 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 13 occasions. Here at home, Over the Total has hit 4 times in Northern Colorado games while the end result has fallen Under the Total 4 times.

SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS VS NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Sam Houston State against the spread(10.5): 68%
  • Betting Sam Houston State to win straight up(447): 69%
  • Betting Northern Colorado against the spread(-10.5): 32%
  • Betting Northern Colorado to win straight up(-600): 31%
  • Betting Over the Total(150.5): 94%
  • Betting Under the Total(150.5): 6%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS VS NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The Northern Colorado Bears is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 10 documented premium wagers on Bears games in the last decade, winning 10, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $10000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 148.6. Together, the teams average 139.3 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 143.95, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Bears is 75.0 while the visiting BearKats bring a rating of 67.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Northern Colorado is -8.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Right Angle Advantage says, take the Northern Colorado Bears -11/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Right Angle Advantage betting on or against the Northern Colorado Bears: 10-0/100.00%, +10000.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: CBSC, DTV: 221 POWER RATINGS: NORTHERN COLORADO 75.0, SAM HOUSTON STATE 67.0

Posted on Tuesday, March 27, 2018 by Right Angle Advantage
Sam Houston State BearKats, Northern Colorado Bears, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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