NCAAB Free Pick: Duke Blue Devils at Kansas Jayhawks 2018-03-25

NCAAB Free Pick: Duke Blue Devils at Kansas Jayhawks 2018-03-25

This college basketball matchup pits the Blue Devils of Duke against the Kansas Jayhawks here at Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, Kansas. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Jayhawks of 3.0 while the total sits at 156.0. Start time is 4:05 PM.

The Duke Blue Devils (25-6) are averaging 84.4 points per game this season while allowing 69.2. Those numbers on the road are 80.8 points for and 75.2. Betting against the Las Vegas number, the Duke is 22-12 overall and 8-5 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 17 Blue Devils games while Under the total has cashed in 15 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 8-5.

The points scoring for the Kansas Jayhawks (24-7) has averaged 81.8 points for and 70.9 points against on average while the home differential is 85.3-69.9. Against the spread, NCAAB handicappers betting on the Jayhawks have gone 19-15 overall and 13-9 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Jayhawks games has gone 18-17 overall and 14-9 on home court.


Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Duke against the spread(-3.0): 53%
  • Betting Duke to win straight up(-175): 53%
  • Betting Kansas against the spread(3.0): 47%
  • Betting Kansas to win straight up(151): 47%
  • Betting Over the Total(156.0): 54%
  • Betting Under the Total(156.0): 46%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.


We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Jayhawks games (38-11/77.60%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Kansas 3.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Kansas 0). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

Campus Sports says, take the Duke Blue Devils -3/-107
(Record for Professional Handicapper Campus Sports betting on or against the Kansas Jayhawks: 38-11/77.60%, +26130.00)


Posted on Saturday, March 24, 2018 by Campus Sports
Duke Blue Devils, Kansas Jayhawks, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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