NCAAB Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles at Michigan Wolverines 2018-03-24

NCAAB Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles at Michigan Wolverines 2018-03-24

The Michigan Wolverines host the Florida State Seminoles in college basketball action in this game. The line on the hometown Wolverines is -3.5, the total on the game is 143.0 and tip-off is set for 7:49 PM.

The Florida State Seminoles enter this game with a 20-10 record including a 7-7 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Seminoles against the spread, they hold a record of 16-13. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 7-6 against the spread. In betting the total in 30 games played, Over the total has gone 18 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 14 occasions. On the road, Florida State games have gone Over/Under 7-7 respectively.

The Michigan Wolverines of enter this game with a 27-7 record including a 21-2 record here at home. When it comes to betting the Wolverines against the spread, they hold a record of 24-13. As the home team, as they are in this game, they are 13-9 against the spread. In betting the total in 34 games played, Over the total has gone 19 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 18 occasions. Here at home, Over the Total has hit 8 times in Michigan games while the end result has fallen Under the Total 14 times.

FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES VS MICHIGAN WOLVERINES EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Florida State against the spread(3.5): 33%
  • Betting Florida State to win straight up(155): 29%
  • Betting Michigan against the spread(-3.5): 67%
  • Betting Michigan to win straight up(-180): 71%
  • Betting Over the Total(143.0): 51%
  • Betting Under the Total(143.0): 49%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM JIM ALLEN

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Wolverines games (6-3/66.70%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Michigan -3.5) compared to where we feel it should be (Michigan -6). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

Jim Allen says, take the Michigan Wolverines -5/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Jim Allen betting on or against the Michigan Wolverines: 6-3/66.70%, +2780.00)

GAME NOTES: NCAA TOURNAMENT: WEST REGIONAL FINAL TV: TBS, DTV: 247 POWER RATINGS: MICHIGAN 91.0, FLORIDA STATE 85.0

Posted on Friday, March 23, 2018 by Jim Allen
Florida State Seminoles, Michigan Wolverines, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops


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