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NCAAB Free Pick: Drake Bulldogs at Northern Colorado Bears 2018-03-18

NCAAB Free Pick: Drake Bulldogs at Northern Colorado Bears 2018-03-18

This college basketball matchup pits the Bulldogs of Drake against the Northern Colorado Bears here at Butler–Hancock Sports Pavilion in Greeley, Colorodo. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Bears of -7.0 while the total sits at 154.5. Start time is 4:00 PM.

The Drake Bulldogs (15-16) are averaging 73.9 points per game this season while allowing 74.2. Those numbers on the road are 70.9 points for and 77.8. Betting against the Las Vegas number, the Drake is 15-13 overall and 8-9 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 17 Bulldogs games while Under the total has cashed in 12 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 9-8.

The points scoring for the Northern Colorado Bears (17-11) has averaged 79.6 points for and 72.5 points against on average while the home differential is 85.3-70.8. Against the spread, NCAAB handicappers betting on the Bears have gone 14-8 overall and 5-2 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Bears games has gone 12-12 overall and 4-3 on home court.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Drake against the spread(7.0): 51%
  • Betting Drake to win straight up(263): 28%
  • Betting Northern Colorado against the spread(-7.0): 49%
  • Betting Northern Colorado to win straight up(-325): 72%
  • Betting Over the Total(154.5): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(154.5): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Northern Colorado Bears is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 9 documented premium wagers on Bears games in the last decade, winning 9, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $9000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 153.5. Together, the teams average 146.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 150.1, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Bears is 75.0 while the visiting Bulldogs bring a rating of 70.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Northern Colorado is -4.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Right Angle Advantage says, take the Northern Colorado Bears -7/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Right Angle Advantage betting on or against the Northern Colorado Bears: 9-0/100.00%, +9000.00)


Posted on Saturday, March 17, 2018 by Right Angle Advantage
Drake Bulldogs, Northern Colorado Bears, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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