NCAAB Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats 2018-03-09

NCAAB Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats 2018-03-09

The Arizona Wildcats (24-7) will meet the UCLA Bruins (20-10) here at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada in this tussle. The line on the Wildcats is -4.5 while the total shows at 156.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Pacific 12, the UCLA Bruins rank number 3 in conference play. On the national stage, the Bruins currently sit at number 42 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Arizona Wildcats currently rank number 1 in Pacific 12 conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 19 according to national oddsmakers.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting UCLA against the spread(4.5): 51%
  • Betting UCLA to win straight up(): 48%
  • Betting Arizona against the spread(-4.5): 49%
  • Betting Arizona to win straight up(): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(156.0): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(156.0): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Arizona Wildcats is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 17 documented premium wagers on Wildcats games in the last decade, winning 14, next to just 3 for a winning rate of 82.40% and profits of $10820.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 163.6. Together, the teams average 147.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 155.75, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Arizona Wildcats is 86.0 while the UCLA Bruins bring a rating of 83.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Arizona is -2.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Jay Marriucci says, take the Arizona Wildcats -5/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Jay Marriucci betting on or against the Arizona Wildcats: 14-3/82.40%, +10820.00)


Posted on Thursday, March 8, 2018 by Jay Marriucci
UCLA Bruins, Arizona Wildcats, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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