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NCAAB Free Pick: Texas San Antonio Roadrunners at Marshall Thundering Herd 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Texas San Antonio Roadrunners at Marshall Thundering Herd 2018-03-08

The Marshall Thundering Herd (20-10) will meet the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners (15-13) here at The Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas in this tussle. The line on the Thundering Herd is -5.0 while the total shows at 163.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Conference USA, the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners rank number 6 in conference play. On the national stage, the Roadrunners currently sit at number 190 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Marshall Thundering Herd currently rank number 4 in Conference USA conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 129 according to national oddsmakers.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Texas San Antonio against the spread(5.0): 51%
  • Betting Texas San Antonio to win straight up(192): 48%
  • Betting Marshall against the spread(-5.0): 49%
  • Betting Marshall to win straight up(-230): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(163.0): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(163.0): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Marshall Thundering Herd is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 9 documented premium wagers on Thundering Herd games in the last decade, winning 9, next to just 0 for a winning rate of 100.00% and profits of $9020.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 162.4. Together, the teams average 155.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 158.95, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Marshall Thundering Herd is 73.5 while the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners bring a rating of 69.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Marshall is -4.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Power Plays says, take the Marshall Thundering Herd -5/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Power Plays betting on or against the Marshall Thundering Herd: 9-0/100.00%, +9020.00)


Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Power Plays

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