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NCAAB Free Pick: Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders 2018-03-08

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (23-8) will meet the Texas Longhorns (18-13) here at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri in this tussle. The line on the Red Raiders is -6.5 while the total shows at 129.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Big 12, the Texas Longhorns rank number 6 in conference play. On the national stage, the Longhorns currently sit at number 33 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders currently rank number 2 in Big 12 conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 10 according to national oddsmakers.

TEXAS TECH V TEXAS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Texas against the spread(6.5): 10%
  • Betting Texas to win straight up(226): 16%
  • Betting Texas Tech against the spread(-6.5): 90%
  • Betting Texas Tech to win straight up(-275): 84%
  • Betting Over the Total(129.5): 23%
  • Betting Under the Total(129.5): 77%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: TEXAS/TEXAS TECH

The Texas Tech Red Raiders is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 7 documented premium wagers on Red Raiders games in the last decade, winning 6, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 85.70% and profits of $3880.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 146.1. Together, the teams average 133.2 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 139.65, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Texas Tech Red Raiders is 88.5 while the Texas Longhorns bring a rating of 84.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Texas Tech is -4.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Mike Peters says, take the Texas Tech Red Raiders -7/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Mike Peters betting on or against the Texas Tech Red Raiders: 6-1/85.70%, +3880.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TEX-F-Mohamed Bamba-? | TEX-G-Andrew Jones-OUT | TV: ESPN2, DTV: 209 POWER RATINGS: TEXAS TECH 91.5, TEXAS 84.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Mike Peters

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