NCAAB Free Pick: Texas Christian University Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Texas Christian University Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats 2018-03-08

The Kansas State Wildcats (21-10) will meet the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs (21-10) here at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri in this tussle. The line on the Wildcats is 2.5 while the total shows at 143.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Big 12, the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs rank number 4 in conference play. On the national stage, the Horned Frogs currently sit at number 15 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Kansas State Wildcats currently rank number 4 in Big 12 conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 45 according to national oddsmakers.

KANSAS STATE V TEXAS CHRISTIAN UNIVERSITY CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Texas Christian University against the spread(-2.5): 80%
  • Betting Texas Christian University to win straight up(-140): 48%
  • Betting Kansas State against the spread(2.5): 20%
  • Betting Kansas State to win straight up(120): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(143.0): 68%
  • Betting Under the Total(143.0): 32%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: TEXAS CHRISTIAN UNIVERSITY/KANSAS STATE

The Kansas State Wildcats is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 10 documented premium wagers on Wildcats games in the last decade, winning 9, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 90.00% and profits of $7970.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 156.6. Together, the teams average 144.8 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 150.7, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Kansas State Wildcats is 83.0 while the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs bring a rating of 86.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Kansas State is 3.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Jason Tanner says, take the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs -3/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Jason Tanner betting on or against the Kansas State Wildcats: 9-1/90.00%, +7970.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TV: ESPN2, DTV: 209 POWER RATINGS: KANSAS STATE 86.0, TEXAS CHRISTIAN UNIVERSITY 86.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Jason Tanner
Texas Christian University Horned Frogs, Kansas State Wildcats, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops


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