NCAAB Free Pick: South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks 2018-03-08

The Arkansas Razorbacks (21-10) will meet the South Carolina Gamecocks (15-15) here at Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri in this tussle. The line on the Razorbacks is -5.0 while the total shows at 146.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Southeastern, the South Carolina Gamecocks rank number 12 in conference play. On the national stage, the Gamecocks currently sit at number 70 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Arkansas Razorbacks currently rank number 3 in Southeastern conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 33 according to national oddsmakers.

ARKANSAS V SOUTH CAROLINA CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting South Carolina against the spread(5.0): 8%
  • Betting South Carolina to win straight up(184): 75%
  • Betting Arkansas against the spread(-5.0): 92%
  • Betting Arkansas to win straight up(-220): 25%
  • Betting Over the Total(146.0): 78%
  • Betting Under the Total(146.0): 22%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: SOUTH CAROLINA/ARKANSAS

The Arkansas Razorbacks is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 17 documented premium wagers on Razorbacks games in the last decade, winning 15, next to just 2 for a winning rate of 88.20% and profits of $12810.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 153. Together, the teams average 144.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 148.95, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Arkansas Razorbacks is 84.5 while the South Carolina Gamecocks bring a rating of 79.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Arkansas is -5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Doc Holliday says, take the Arkansas Razorbacks -5/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Doc Holliday betting on or against the Arkansas Razorbacks: 15-2/88.20%, +12810.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 SEC COLLEGE BASKETBALL CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TV: SEC, DTV: 611 POWER RATINGS: ARKANSAS 87.5, SOUTH CAROLINA 79.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Doc Holliday


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