NCAAB Free Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes 2018-03-08

The Miami Hurricanes (22-8) will meet the North Carolina Tar Heels (22-9) here at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York in this tussle. The line on the Hurricanes is 6.5 while the total shows at 151.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Atlantic Coast, the North Carolina Tar Heels rank number 3 in conference play. On the national stage, the Tar Heels currently sit at number 8 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Miami Hurricanes currently rank number 3 in Atlantic Coast conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 26 according to national oddsmakers.

MIAMI V NORTH CAROLINA CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting North Carolina against the spread(-6.5): 75%
  • Betting North Carolina to win straight up(-300): 16%
  • Betting Miami against the spread(6.5): 25%
  • Betting Miami to win straight up(245): 84%
  • Betting Over the Total(151.5): 8%
  • Betting Under the Total(151.5): 92%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: NORTH CAROLINA/MIAMI

The Miami Hurricanes is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 7 documented premium wagers on Hurricanes games in the last decade, winning 6, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 85.70% and profits of $5000.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 156.9. Together, the teams average 142.3 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 149.6, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Miami Hurricanes is 85.0 while the North Carolina Tar Heels bring a rating of 90.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Miami is 5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Moneyball Sports says, take the North Carolina Tar Heels -7/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Moneyball Sports betting on or against the Miami Hurricanes: 6-1/85.70%, +5000.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 ACC CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT MFL-G-Bruce Brown-OUT | TV: ESPN, DTV: 206 POWER RATINGS: MIAMI 88.0, NORTH CAROLINA 90.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Moneyball Sports


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