NCAAB Free Pick: North Carolina Central Eagles at Savannah State Tigers 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: North Carolina Central Eagles at Savannah State Tigers 2018-03-08

The Savannah State Tigers (13-16) will meet the North Carolina Central Eagles (12-15) here at Norfolk Scope in Norfolk, Virginia in this tussle. The line on the Tigers is 2.0 while the total shows at 170.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Mid-Eastern, the North Carolina Central Eagles rank number 5 in conference play. On the national stage, the Eagles currently sit at number 308 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Savannah State Tigers currently rank number 4 in Mid-Eastern conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 330 according to national oddsmakers.

SAVANNAH STATE V NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting North Carolina Central against the spread(-2.0): 80%
  • Betting North Carolina Central to win straight up(-135): 16%
  • Betting Savannah State against the spread(2.0): 20%
  • Betting Savannah State to win straight up(115): 84%
  • Betting Over the Total(170.5): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(170.5): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL/SAVANNAH STATE

The Savannah State Tigers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 4 documented premium wagers on Tigers games in the last decade, winning 3, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 75.00% and profits of $1900.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 158.8. Together, the teams average 164.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 161.75, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Savannah State Tigers is 58.5 while the North Carolina Central Eagles bring a rating of 61.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Savannah State is 3.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Ben Obama says, take the North Carolina Central Eagles -2/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Ben Obama betting on or against the Savannah State Tigers: 3-1/75.00%, +1900.00)

GAME NOTES: MEAC MENS COLLEGE BASKETBALL TOURNEY TV: ESPN3 POWER RATINGS: SAVANNAH STATE 61.5, NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 61.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Ben Obama


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